Sudan's Diplomatic Pivot: Implications for Regional Security.

In a significant diplomatic shift, Sudan's acting foreign minister, Ali Al Sadiq, recently visited Tehran to meet with Iranian President Ebrahim Raisi and Foreign Minister Hossein Amir-Abdollahian, marking the first high-level diplomatic visit in seven years. The warming relations come amid Sudan's ongoing civil war, with Iran expressing support for a strong government and the preservation of Sudan's territorial integrity.

The re-establishment of diplomatic ties last October signals a departure from Sudan's previous alignment with Saudi Arabia. The rocky relationship between Sudan and Iran, severed in 2016, saw Sudan leaning towards the Saudi orbit. However, the restoration of relations between Saudi Arabia and Iran in March, under Chinese mediation, created an opening for other Arab countries to follow suit.

The timing of this diplomatic shift is crucial, occurring as Sudan faces the threat of a civil war between the regular army and the paramilitary Rapid Support Forces (RSF). The Sudanese army's intention to seek military assistance from Iran, particularly in acquiring precision weaponry like Iranian combat drones, reveals a strategic move to counter RSF positions and mobile forces.

Security Implications for the Region:

1. Iran's Regional Agenda: The restoration of ties with Sudan allows Iran to gain influence in Sudan, the Red Sea, and the broader region. This move is seen as part of Iran's broader strategy to strengthen its presence and influence along vital international corridors. This raises concerns about contraventions of international navigation security and threatens the interests of Saudi Arabia, the United States, and Israel.

2. Threat to Israel: The Sudanese army's growing relationship with Iran, especially in acquiring Iranian combat drones, poses an increasing threat to the security of the region. This is particularly alarming for Israel, given the potential use of advanced weaponry against its interests.

In conclusion, Sudan's diplomatic pivot towards Iran has multifaceted implications for regional security. The strengthening ties between the two nations, particularly in the military sphere, raise concerns about the broader agenda of Iran in the region and its potential impact on security landscape.

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